Do you believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years, 5-10 years, 10-15 years, 20-30 years or not at all in the next few decades?

Field work dates: 28 April 2021 - 1 July 2022
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 5 polls

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Results for: Do you believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years, 5-10 years, 10-15 years, 20-30 years or not at all in the next few decades?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
1 July 2022
Poll by Panelbase
12 November 2021
Poll by Panelbase
10 September 2021
Poll by Panelbase
24 June 2021
Poll by Panelbase
30 April 2021
Poll by Panelbase
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years36%26%29%25%33%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 5 or 10 years19%26%24%27%22%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 10 or 15 years9%11%12%14%9%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 20 or 30 years4%7%4%7%7%
I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades32%30%30%27%29%

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Full question wording

Regardless of whether you support or oppose independence, which of these is closest to your view? I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years/but not for at least 5 to 10 years/ but not for at least 10 or 15 years/ but not for at least 20 or 30 years/ I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades

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