Do you believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years, 5-10 years, 10-15 years, 20-30 years or not at all in the next few decades?

Field work dates: 28 April 2021 - 1 July 2022
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 5 polls

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Results for: Do you believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years, 5-10 years, 10-15 years, 20-30 years or not at all in the next few decades?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
1 July 2022
Poll by Panelbase
12 November 2021
Poll by Panelbase
10 September 2021
Poll by Panelbase
24 June 2021
Poll by Panelbase
30 April 2021
Poll by Panelbase
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years33%23%26%22%30%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 5 or 10 years17%23%22%24%20%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 10 or 15 years8%10%11%12%8%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 20 or 30 years4%6%4%6%6%
I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades29%27%27%24%26%
Don't know10%10%10%12%11%

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Full question wording

Regardless of whether you support or oppose independence, which of these is closest to your view? I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years/but not for at least 5 to 10 years/ but not for at least 10 or 15 years/ but not for at least 20 or 30 years/ I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades

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