Steady as she goes from YouGov

7th February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

There is a new poll from YouGov in today’s Scottish Sun. Its publication also allows us to play catch up with another reading of referendum voting intention that the company slipped out largely unnoticed last week. Neither poll provides anything like as much evidence of a swing to Yes as did the TNS BMRB poll […]



Survation Enter The Fray

1st February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Survation, the regular (internet) pollsters for the London newsdesk of the Mail on Sunday  (though not of the desk in Scotland), have entered the referendum polling fray for the first time this weekend. They put the Yes vote at 32%, No at 52%, with 16% saying Don’t Know (after taking into account people’s reported likelihood […]






ICM Poll Shows Biggest Swing Yet

26th January 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

One of the most remarkable features of the referendum campaign polls so far has been their stability from one reading to the next.  Almost every company’s poll has reported more or less the same proportion of people saying they will vote Yes (and No) as did  the last poll conducted by that same company. Now, […]


Do we need to take the undecideds seriously?

23rd January 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

In the 2013 Scottish Social Attitudes (SSA) survey respondents were asked how they would vote in the referendum as follows: In the referendum, you will be asked, ‘Should Scotland be an independent country?’ If you do vote, will you vote ‘Yes’ or vote ‘No’ – or haven’t you decided yet? Asked in this about how […]