10th April 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The first installment of the latest monthly poll to be conducted by Survation for the Daily Record is published today. It gives the Yes side reason to pause for thought, while the No side’s recent apparent nervousness should be steadied a little. The poll puts Yes on 37%, down two points on a month ago, […]
6th April 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Panelbase, the nationalists’ favourite pollster, have a new poll of voting intentions out this morning. It has been commissioned by the pro-independence web site, Wings over Scotland, the third such poll the site has funded via contributions from its readers. The poll puts the Yes vote on 41%, No on 46%. Both votes are up […]
30th March 2014 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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30th March 2014 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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23rd March 2014 Comment
Expectations of constitutional change How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum
The latest monthly ICM poll for Scotland on Sunday, published today, will do little to smooth the worried brows in the No camp. Once again the message appears to be that the referendum race has become, from their perspective at least, all too close for comfort. The poll puts Yes on 39%, No on 46%. […]
20th March 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
One of the curious features of the polling conducted since the publication of the independence White Paper last November, is that the one and only company not to register any subsequent increase in Yes support has been Panelbase, whose results had hitherto consistently been the most favourable to the Yes side. Of course, given that […]
13th March 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The Scottish party political conference season kicks off this weekend, and that together with the fact that it will be ‘six months to go’ until polling day next Wednesday means there is likely to be another intense round of media speculation and commentary on the state of the referendum race in the next few days. […]
3rd March 2014 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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3rd March 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The latest Ipsos MORI poll for STV of referendum vote intentions was released this afternoon. For the most part it represents disappointing news for the Yes side, though it upholds the suggestion that the currency intervention has had little impact on the balance of public opinion. Amongst those certain to vote (the opinions of whom […]
2nd March 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Today sees the latest of those little anniversaries that are being used to punctuate the long referendum campaign. The latest milestone is that it is 200 days to go to polling day on September 18th. The occasion has been marked by one new poll of referendum voting intentions in Scotland (together with a poll of […]