18th June 2014 Comment
Expectations of constitutional change The Scottish independence referendum
One of the major academic efforts to understand how voters behave in September’s referendum is being conducted as part of an enterprise known as the British Election Study (BES). This study is now 50 years old; each election since 1964 has been graced by an in-depth survey of voters conducted after polling day, while in […]
15th June 2014 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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15th June 2014 Comment
Expectations of constitutional change The Scottish independence referendum
Following on from Survation’s poll for the Daily Record on Thursday, two further polls released today appear to provide further evidence that the tide may have begun to flow a bit further in the Yes side’s direction. First, in a poll commissioned by Yes Scotland, Panelbase put Yes on 43%, No on 46%, with 12% […]
15th June 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by ICM, one poll by Ipsos MORI, one poll by Survation, one by Panelbase, and one by TNS BMRB. The polls were conducted between 12 May and […]
14th June 2014 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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14th June 2014 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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14th June 2014 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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14th June 2014 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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14th June 2014 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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12th June 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
As we had cause to remark only yesterday, the polls have been remarkably stable in the last couple of months. Since just before the end of March most have reported little or no change in the balance of Yes and No support. True, ICM suggested in April that Yes support had reached a record high, […]