Who is Right? YouGov or Survation?

16th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Regular readers of this blog will be well aware that the polls have been consistently disagreeing with each other in their estimates of how many people propose to vote Yes and No. Three companies, ICM, Panelbase and Survation have tended to produce higher estimates of the Yes vote (and thus lower estimates of the No […]





Poll of Polls: 11 July

13th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by ICM,  two by YouGov, one poll by Survation, and one by TNS BMRB,  The polls were conducted between 9 June and 11 July.


Survation Repeats Its Record High For Yes

11th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Sometimes there genuinely is more than one way to look at the result of an opinion poll. Apply one criterion and it can look good for one side.  Judge it by another criterion and a different picture is painted. Today’s poll of referendum vote intentions by Survation for the Daily Record is a case in […]


Poll of Polls: 8 July

11th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov,  one poll by Survation, one poll by TNS BMRB, one poll by ICM, and one by Panelbase, . The polls were conducted between 9 June […]