Who is still wavering? Turnout and the undecided

12th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

We use the Scottish Social Attitudes survey (SSA) 2014 to look here at likely turnout in the referendum, and also at who the undecideds are. The level of turnout looks likely to be high. The survey measured respondents’ likelihood of voting on a 10-point scale, with 10 meaning ‘very likely to vote’. Nearly three quarters […]


First SSA 2014 Results: Support for Independence Up Yet Fewer Think It Would Be Beneficial

12th August 2014 Comment Expectations of constitutional change How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum

What should we make of the referendum campaign now that polling day is drawing near? That is the question being addressed today by a major ScotCen/What Scotland Thinks conference being held in Edinburgh today. To help us answer the question the event will see the unveiling of initial results from the 2014 Scottish Social Attitudes […]


Minding the gap – women’s views of independence in 2014

12th August 2014 Comment Expectations of constitutional change How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum

As we enter the final weeks of the referendum campaign, persuading key groups of voters to back their case becomes ever more important to both the Yes Scotland and the Better Together campaign. Women are one such target group. In fact, some have suggested that women may ‘hold the key’  to the outcome of September’s vote. […]





YouGov: Yes Vote Remains Steady But Low

11th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

There is a new poll from YouGov published in today’s Sun newspaper.  Curiously, perhaps, the fieldwork was conducted between 4 and 7 August, that is partly before the leaders’ debate on 5 August, and partly afterwards. Thus unlike Saturday’s poll by Survation, it does not provide us with a clear measure of whether support for […]