Could the ‘Missing Million’ Swing It to Yes?

1st September 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Faced with opinion polls that continue unrelentingly to put the No side ahead, albeit by differing margins, the Yes side appears to be putting its faith in the so-called ‘missing million’. The term is used somewhat loosely; sometimes it refers to those who are eligible to vote but are not on the electoral register and […]



Poll of Polls: 28 August

28th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, two by YouGov,  one by ICM and one by Panelbase,  The polls were conducted between 4 and 28 August.


Why bigger isn’t always better

23rd August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Political campaigners can often be heard complaining that opinion polls do not reflect what they are hearing ‘on the doorstep’. Arguing that they have spoken to many more people than the 1,000 or so typically interviewed for a poll, they claim the polls must be biased or just plain wrong. In Scotland, the Radical Independence […]







Panelbase Also Show Yes Vote Holding Firm

17th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

A third post-leaders’ debate poll of voting intentions in the referendum has appeared this morning. Undertaken by Panelbase for the Yes Scotland campaign, it casts further doubt on the proposition that the debate had an adverse impact on the Yes vote. The poll puts Yes on 42%, up one point on the company’s previous poll […]