So How Well Did The Polls Do?

19th September 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Clearly the most important features of the referendum result are which side won and which lost, and how politicians react and respond to the outcome. But there is also another question to be asked of the result – how well did the polls do and which was closest to the result? Here is a table […]


The Last Lap: Ipsos MORI’s Final Poll

18th September 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Ipsos MORI released the very final poll of the referendum this morning (conducted for the Evening Standard) as voters were already heading for the polls. Conducted over a two day period that ended 24 hours later than the company’s poll for STV that was published last night, it adopted the same methodological tweaks to estimating […]


More Polls: Still Close!

18th September 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Yesterday evening saw the publication of what are almost the final polls of the campaign – there is one more from Ipsos MORI due to appear in today’s Evening Standard. Between them they affirmed the impression created by the polls released on Monday evening that the outcome of the referendum is on a knife-edge but […]


Poll of Polls: 17 September FINAL

18th September 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest and last Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation,  two by Ipsos MORI, one by YouGov and one by Panelbase, and one by ICM.  The polls were conducted between 12 and 17 […]


Poll of Polls: 17 September

17th September 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation,  one poll by YouGov, one by Panelbase, one by Ipsos MORI, and one poll by ICM.  The polls were conducted between 12 and 17 September. […]