If the SNP do not win a majority in the upcoming Scottish Parliament elections but a majority of the candidates elected oppose holding a referendum on Scottish independence, do you think there should be a referendum in the next two years, two to five years’, at some point in the future, but not in the next five years or never?

Fieldwork dates: 11 March 2021 - 3 May 2021
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 3 polls

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Results for: If the SNP do not win a majority in the upcoming Scottish Parliament elections but a majority of the candidates elected oppose holding a referendum on Scottish independence, do you think there should be a referendum in the next two years, two to five years’, at some point in the future, but not in the next five years or never?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
3 May 2021
Poll by Opinium
6 April 2021
Poll by Opinium
16 March 2021
Poll by Opinium
There should be a referendum on Scottish Independence in the next two years 24% 26% 27%
There should be a referendum on Scottish Independence, but it should be in two to five years’ time 15% 17% 13%
There should be a referendum on Scottish Independence at some point in the future, but not in the next five years 16% 14% 16%
There should not be a referendum on Scottish Independence 36% 37% 36%
Don’t know 9% 6% 8%

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Full question wording

Please imagine the SNP do not win a majority alone in the upcoming Scottish Parliament elections. but a majority of the candidates elected oppose holding a referendum on Scottish Independence. On the question of Scottish Independence, which of the following do you think should happen?

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