How would you vote in the referendum if you thought the Conservatives were going to win the next UK general election?

Fieldwork dates: 14 April 2014 - 15 May 2014
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 2 polls

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Results for: How would you vote in the referendum if you thought the Conservatives were going to win the next UK general election?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
15 May 2014
Poll by ICM
16 April 2014
Poll by ICM
Vote yes 40% 41%
Vote no 43% 42%
Don't know 17% 17%
Refused 0% 0%

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Full question wording

There will be a General Election to the Westminster Parliament in May 2015. Say that by September you thought the Conservatives would win the next UK general election. In those circumstances would you vote Yes to independence or No to independence?

See About these data for possible variations