How soon do you think Scotland will be independent?

Fieldwork dates: 9 January 2015 - 26 March 2020
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 25 polls

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Results for: How soon do you think Scotland will be independent?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
26 March 2020
Poll by Panelbase
6 December 2019
Poll by Panelbase
22 November 2019
Poll by Panelbase
11 October 2019
Poll by Panelbase
20 June 2019
Poll by Panelbase
17 May 2019
Poll by Panelbase
24 April 2019
Poll by Panelbase
5 December 2018
Poll by Panelbase
4 October 2018
Poll by Panelbase
13 June 2018
Poll by Panelbase
28 March 2018
Poll by Panelbase
7 September 2017
Poll by Panelbase
7 June 2017
Poll by Panelbase
31 May 2017
Poll by Panelbase
21 April 2017
Poll by Panelbase
17 March 2017
Poll by Panelbase
26 January 2017
Poll by Panelbase
15 September 2016
Poll by Panelbase
26 June 2016
Poll by Panelbase
28 April 2016
Poll by Panelbase
15 April 2016
Poll by Panelbase
14 January 2016
Poll by Panelbase
10 September 2015
Poll by Panelbase
2 April 2015
Poll by Panelbase
14 January 2015
Poll by Panelbase
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next five to ten years 37% 37% 39% 39% 38% 35% 34% 33% 29% 31% 27% 29% 37% 38% 41% 44% 38% 35% 52% 30% 30% 28% 31% 25% 26%
...but not for at least 10 to 15 years 20% 18% 15% 16% 19% 18% 17% 17% 19% 18% 19% 20% 16% 15% 13% 11% 16% 18% 10% 22% 24% 27% 24% 25% 21%
...but not for at least 20 to 30 years 8% 9% 7% 7% 9% 9% 8% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 3% 13% 11% 12% 12% 14% 11%
I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades 26% 26% 27% 27% 24% 27% 29% 30% 30% 28% 30% 32% 26% 28% 28% 26% 27% 26% 21% 25% 26% 23% 22% 25% 32%
Don't know 10% 9% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 13% 13% 9% 13% 11% 11% 12% 13% 13% 14% 10% 10% 9% 10% 11% 10%
Refused 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

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Poll details

Full question wording

Regardless of whether you support or oppose independence, which of these is closest to your view?

See About these data for possible variations