How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?

Fieldwork dates: 19 January 2021 - 4 February 2022
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 2 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?
Fieldwork end date Pollster	4 February 2022 Poll by Norstat	22 January 2021 Poll by Norstat
Very likely	21%	24%
Quite likely	25%	25%
Neither likely nor unlikely	11%	11%
Quite likely	14%	13%
Very unlikely	21%	17%
Don't know	8%	9%

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Full question wording

How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?

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Topics

How Scotland should be governed Perceptions of government & the Union