How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?

Field work dates: 18 January 2021 - 19 August 2022
Data from: Wales
Results from: 2 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
19 August 2022
Poll by YouGov
21 January 2021
Poll by YouGov
Very likely16%17%
Quite likely38%39%
Neither likely nor unlikely17%18%
Quite unlikely19%17%
Very unlikely10%9%

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Full question wording

How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country? (Welsh views)

See About these data for possible variations