How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?

Field work dates: 19 January 2021 - 18 August 2022
Data from: England
Results from: 2 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
18 August 2022
Poll by YouGov
20 January 2021
Poll by YouGov
Very likely11%13%
Quite likely36%45%
Neither likely nor unlikely19%19%
Quite unlikely22%15%
Very unlikely12%7%

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Full question wording

How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country? (English views)

See About these data for possible variations