11th May 2014
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by Survation, one by Panelbase, one by ICM, one by YouGov, one by TNS BMRB and one by Progressive Scottish Opinion. The polls were conducted between 4 […]
9th May 2014
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls conducted by Panelbase, two by Survation, one by ICM and one by YouGov. The polls were conducted between 28 March and 28 April.
9th May 2014
One of the suggestions that a number of users of this site have made is that we should supply a poll of polls of referendum vote intention. Our blogs often contain a reference to the average vote share for Yes and No in recent polls, but until now we have eschewed running such a statistic […]
2nd May 2014
Hitherto most of the polls conducted wholly or partly in April had been conducted by pollsters whose estimate of the Yes share of the vote has typically been towards the higher end of the various estimates. So it was particularly interesting that, thanks to Channel 4 News, last night saw the first release for quite […]
1st May 2014
We have seen a tightening of the referendum race during the first few months of 2014. Although ‘No’ remains in the lead in all of the polls and in many still substantially ahead, its share of the vote on average in March and April has been (once Don’t Knows are excluded) just 55%, well down […]
23rd April 2014
It will come as no surprise to regular users of this site to hear that the most visited page is the referendum voting intention time series. This graph presents the results from all polls that have asked the question that will appear on this September’s ballot paper: ‘Should Scotland be an independent country?’ One strength […]
22nd April 2014
Tonight BBC2 Scotland airs a referendum documentary ‘What Women Want’ that looks at the gender gap in attitudes to independence. Rachel Ormston, who appears in the programme, looks as the current state of the gap – and why it exists. The gap between men and women in their level of support for independence is well […]
20th April 2014
The headline results of the two polls published today, one by ICM Research for Scotland on Sunday and one by Survation for the Sunday Post, will doubtless be regarded as encouraging for the Yes side. Some of the details too will do little to dispel the impression that the No campaign is a campaign in […]
16th April 2014
The poll from TNS BMRB released today has been widely reported as further evidence that the No lead is narrowing. In truth, it would appear to be further evidence that the No lead has stabilized around the narrower level it has now been at for some weeks. First, though, a note about the timing of […]
10th April 2014
In commissioning and publishing the poll from Panelbase that it released this morning (which showed Yes 40%, No 45%, Don’t Know 15%), the Yes Scotland campaign was doubtless hoping to persuade us that it is on the edge of victory in September. Its press release highlighted the fact that, at 47% (once the Don’t Knows […]
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