18th July 2014
Of all the companies polling regularly during the campaign, none has hitherto been more stable in its estimates of referendum vote intentions than TNS BMRB. Up to now, six of the seven polls it had conducted to date this year had put Yes on 41% (and No on 59%) once the Don’t Knows were excluded, […]
18th July 2014
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, two by TNS BMRB, one poll by Survation, and one by ICM, The polls were conducted between 10 June and 11 July. It is an […]
16th July 2014
Regular readers of this blog will be well aware that the polls have been consistently disagreeing with each other in their estimates of how many people propose to vote Yes and No. Three companies, ICM, Panelbase and Survation have tended to produce higher estimates of the Yes vote (and thus lower estimates of the No […]
13th July 2014
A distinguishing feature of the polls that ICM conduct for Scotland on Sunday is that they repeatedly ask many of the same questions each month. As a result, apart from academic exercises such as the British Election Study, they provide us with a unique insight into how much difference the referendum campaign is making to […]
13th July 2014
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by ICM, two by YouGov, one poll by Survation, and one by TNS BMRB, The polls were conducted between 9 June and 11 July.
11th July 2014
Sometimes there genuinely is more than one way to look at the result of an opinion poll. Apply one criterion and it can look good for one side. Judge it by another criterion and a different picture is painted. Today’s poll of referendum vote intentions by Survation for the Daily Record is a case in […]
11th July 2014
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, one poll by Survation, one poll by TNS BMRB, one poll by ICM, and one by Panelbase, . The polls were conducted between 9 June […]
6th July 2014
Today sees the publication of a second poll to be conducted by TNS BMRB for Sir Tom Hunter’s scotlandseptember18.com website, the stated aim of which is to improve the quality of the referendum debate. Much of the poll is thus about people’s perceptions of the quality of that debate and whether they feel adequately informed […]
4th July 2014
On Tuesday, July 1, The Times reported a new YouGov poll that showed support for a Yes vote at 39% (once Don’t Knows were excluded). This was one point down from the last YouGov poll two weeks ago, and three points down from a YouGov poll in March. The Times announced, “Voters are turning their […]
3rd July 2014
The journal Scottish Affairs was first launched not long after the Conservatives had won their fourth consecutive UK general election in 1992. The opening lines of Scottish Affairs, number 1 were delivered by the journal’s editor, Lindsay Paterson: The day after the general election last April, a new bit of graffiti appeared on a wall […]
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