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Tracking the Polls: Rapid Movement to Yes, but is it Enough?

13th September 2014

Since the YouGov/Sunday Times poll last Sunday, September 7th, reported a narrow Yes lead and prompted the current crisis reaction from both political parties and news organisations, the polls have been very consistent. They have ranged from the Survation poll on September 9th at 47% for Yes to the ICM poll on September 11th at […]


ICM Agree The Race Is Now Close

12th September 2014

Earlier today, the Guardian released the findings of a poll conducted for it by ICM. Unlike the polls that ICM have been conducting for Scotland on Sunday and The Scotsman, this poll was conducted over the telephone (using random digit dialing) rather than via an online panel. Not least of the reasons for this approach […]


YouGov Put No (Narrowly) Ahead Again

12th September 2014

The reporting of polls can sometimes be a curious affair. Only last week a poll from YouGov that put Yes on 47% and No on 53% (after Don’t Knows were excluded) was widely reported as a hammer blow for the No side. Today we have another poll from the same company that puts Yes slightly […]


Poll of Polls: 11 September Updated

12th September 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, one by ICM, one  by Survation, one by TNS BMRB  and one by Panelbase,  The polls were conducted between 27 August and  11 September. The […]


Poll of Polls: 11 September

11th September 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on three polls by YouGov, one  by Survation, one by TNS BMRB  and one by Panelbase,  The polls were conducted between 27 August and  11 September. The most recent poll […]


Survation Show No Change Too!

10th September 2014

The polling mystery deepens. Last Sunday YouGov reported that they had identified a swing to Yes for the third poll in a row, while on the very same day Panelbase indicated that nothing had changed at all. Then on Tuesday TNS BMRB agreed with YouGov that there had been a substantial swing to Yes – […]


Poll of Polls: 9 September

10th September 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov,  two  by Survation, one by TNS BMRB  and one by Panelbase,  The polls were conducted between 26 August and  9 September.


TNS Now Say It Is A Dead Heat

9th September 2014

Although both of the polls published on Sunday, one from YouGov and one from Panelbase, suggested that the referendum race was too close to call, they painted a very different picture when it came to how far things had changed. Whereas YouGov were reporting a third poll in a row to register an increase in […]


Poll of Polls: 5 September updated

9th September 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov,  two  by Panelbase, one by TNS BMRB  and one by Survation,  The polls were conducted between 12 August and 5 September. This is an updated […]


Maybe Yes, Maybe No? New YouGov and Panelbase Polls

7th September 2014

Last Tuesday YouGov, hitherto a company that had painted a pessimistic picture of the Yes side’s prospects of winning on 18th September, generated considerable excitement by publishing a poll that showed an eight point swing from No to Yes in just a month. Today they have gone one better by being the first company in […]


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