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Method Matters: YouGov and Progressive Polls

18th September 2013

As regular readers of this blog will by now have come to appreciate methodology can make a difference to the results obtained by polls when they ask people how they would vote in the referendum. So how does the methodology of today’s YouGov and Progressive Scottish Opinion polls stand up to scrutiny? One important methodological […]


Angus Reid/Sunday Express Poll Shows Little Change

25th August 2013

With the 18th September ‘exactly a year to go’ date coming into view, we can expect a flurry of media interest in the state of the referendum debate – and thus of polling activity too. First out of the blocks is an Angus Reid poll in today’s Sunday Express – though we should note that […]


Nationalists for No: The Real Referendum Battleground?

8th August 2013

Rather a lot of political excitement has been caused recently by claims that the Labour for Independence campaign was a front populated by current and/or recent SNP activists rather than a grassroots organization consisting of genuine Labour members – see, for example, these articles by Severin Carrell and Tom Gordon. Apart from casting aspersions on […]


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