10th April 2014
In commissioning and publishing the poll from Panelbase that it released this morning (which showed Yes 40%, No 45%, Don’t Know 15%), the Yes Scotland campaign was doubtless hoping to persuade us that it is on the edge of victory in September. Its press release highlighted the fact that, at 47% (once the Don’t Knows […]
10th April 2014
The first installment of the latest monthly poll to be conducted by Survation for the Daily Record is published today. It gives the Yes side reason to pause for thought, while the No side’s recent apparent nervousness should be steadied a little. The poll puts Yes on 37%, down two points on a month ago, […]
6th April 2014
Panelbase, the nationalists’ favourite pollster, have a new poll of voting intentions out this morning. It has been commissioned by the pro-independence web site, Wings over Scotland, the third such poll the site has funded via contributions from its readers. The poll puts the Yes vote on 41%, No on 46%. Both votes are up […]
23rd March 2014
The latest monthly ICM poll for Scotland on Sunday, published today, will do little to smooth the worried brows in the No camp. Once again the message appears to be that the referendum race has become, from their perspective at least, all too close for comfort. The poll puts Yes on 39%, No on 46%. […]
20th March 2014
One of the curious features of the polling conducted since the publication of the independence White Paper last November, is that the one and only company not to register any subsequent increase in Yes support has been Panelbase, whose results had hitherto consistently been the most favourable to the Yes side. Of course, given that […]
13th March 2014
The Scottish party political conference season kicks off this weekend, and that together with the fact that it will be ‘six months to go’ until polling day next Wednesday means there is likely to be another intense round of media speculation and commentary on the state of the referendum race in the next few days. […]
3rd March 2014
The latest Ipsos MORI poll for STV of referendum vote intentions was released this afternoon. For the most part it represents disappointing news for the Yes side, though it upholds the suggestion that the currency intervention has had little impact on the balance of public opinion. Amongst those certain to vote (the opinions of whom […]
2nd March 2014
Today sees the latest of those little anniversaries that are being used to punctuate the long referendum campaign. The latest milestone is that it is 200 days to go to polling day on September 18th. The occasion has been marked by one new poll of referendum voting intentions in Scotland (together with a poll of […]
23rd February 2014
As you may well have already spotted, there is a Panelbase poll conducted for the SNP out today as well as the ICM poll for Scotland on Sunday. So that means we now have three polls conducted since the currency announcement (and Mr Barroso’s intervention, though David Bowlie’s headline grabbing plea for Scotland to stay […]
23rd February 2014
Today sees the publication of the second poll to be conducted since the announcement that the UK government would not contemplate sharing the pound in a monetary union with Scotland. However, like the first such poll, it needs to be interpreted with caution. The poll, by ICM for Scotland on Sunday, puts the Yes vote […]
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