Comment

Survation Poll of Women

14th August 2014

Rather than being a regular poll of all voters, this month’s poll by Survation for the Daily Record, published today, has been conducted exclusively amongst women.  So, although it was conducted between 8 and 12 August and is thus only the second poll to have been conducted wholly since last Tuesday’s leaders’ debate, it does […]


Survation Show Drop in Yes Support Following Leaders’ Debate

9th August 2014

ICM’s instant poll of those who had watched the leaders’ debate on Tuesday was not exactly comfortable reading for the Yes side. But at least it held out the prospect that perhaps Mr Salmond’s seemingly disappointing performance would not cost it many votes. However that poll’s headline figure  – that Mr Darling was adjudged the […]


Who won the Leaders’ Debate? ICM’s Instant Poll

6th August 2014

Within half an hour of the conclusion of last night’s leaders’ debate, ICM produced for The Guardian an instant poll of the reactions of a supposedly representative sample of voters who watched the debate. Only just over 500 people (512 to be exact) were successfully contacted in the limited time available, and some demographic groups, […]


Ipsos MORI Give Salmond Debate Fillip

5th August 2014

A poll commissioned by STV from Ipsos MORI and released at the beginning of tonight’s leaders’ debate gives Alex Salmond a bit of a fillip as he prepares to debate with the Better Together leader, Alistair Darling. The poll puts Yes on 40% and No on 54%, with just 7% of those who say they […]


Implications of the Euro Result in Scotland

27th May 2014

The declaration of the result of the European Parliament election in Scotland is of interest for two reasons so far as the referendum campaign is concerned. First, inevitably the parties and campaigns will try to impose their own interpretation of what has happened and why it matters for the referendum debate. Second, the declaration gives […]


Survation Shows Stability Too

15th May 2014

There is further evidence today from Survation (for the Daily Record) that after the gains made by Yes during the winter, the referendum race has once again become something of a stalemate. The poll puts Yes on 37%, No on 47%, with 17% saying Don’t Know. The Yes and No tallies are identical to those […]


Progressive: Big Swing to Yes but Yes Still Far Behind!

11th May 2014

Until now, Progressive Scottish Opinion had conducted only a couple of polls of voting intentions in the referendum – one last September, on the occasion of a year to go to polling day, and one at the very end of November, immediately after the publication of the Scottish Government’s White Paper.  Even so, those two […]


SNP Slipped in the Polls?

6th January 2014

Amongst the plethora of holiday polling, the SNP reported with some satisfaction Panelbase’s finding (based on the Scottish poll it conducted for the party just before Xmas) that the party was eight points ahead of Labour on constituency voting intentions for the Scottish Parliament and nine points on list voting.  As the party itself noted, […]


Which Way Might the Don’t Knows Go? – Evidence from the Wings Poll

28th October 2013

Full results from the Wings over Scotland/Panelbase poll are now available. (See our post of yesterday for a commentary on the initial results.) In terms of the number of questions asked at least, it is one of the largest commercial public opinion polls to have been conducted in Scotland in recent years. It is doubtful […]


Is Independence Really Less Popular than the SNP?

23rd October 2013

The forthcoming independence referendum now dominates the Scottish political scene. The airwaves are full of claim and counterclaim about what leaving or staying in the UK might mean. As a result everyday party politics is very much taking a back seat.  But Thursday’s Dunfermline by-election for the seats vacated by the jailed former SNP MSP, […]


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