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A Critical Look at Scotland’s Referendum: Special Issue of Scottish Affairs

3rd July 2014

The journal Scottish Affairs was first launched not long after the Conservatives had won their fourth consecutive UK general election in 1992. The opening lines of Scottish Affairs, number 1 were delivered by the journal’s editor, Lindsay Paterson: The day after the general election last April, a new bit of graffiti appeared on a wall […]


A Step Backwards for Yes? Latest YouGov Poll

1st July 2014

It has long been apparent that YouGov are amongst the companies that tend to paint a relatively pessimistic picture of the Yes side’s prospects. But even by the standards of its previous polls, the company’s latest poll, conducted for The Times, must be regarded as a considerable disappointment for those working in the Yes side’s […]


Poll of Polls: 29 June

1st July 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, one poll by ICM, one poll by Ipsos MORI, one poll by Survation, and one by Panelbase, . The polls were conducted between 26 May […]


Yes Side Maintains Advantage in The Online Campaign Battle

19th June 2014

Since our last post on the subject of social media and the referendum, the campaign has ramped up considerably. We have seen offers of further devolved powers from all of the parties supporting a ‘no’ vote, interventions from businesses such as Shell and Lloyds Bank expressing concern over Scotland leaving the UK, TV debates, economic […]


Three Months To Go: Polls Still Poles Apart

18th June 2014

If you had not noticed, it is now exactly three months to go to polling day. But so far as the polls are concerned, it is business as usual. The saga of markedly divergent results continues with new findings from YouGov for The Sun (for Scotland as a whole) and from ComRes for ITV Border […]


Poll of Polls: 16 June

18th June 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by ICM, one poll by Ipsos MORI, one poll by Survation, one by Panelbase, one by YouGov and one by TNS BMRB. The polls were conducted between […]


Do Promises of More Devolution Matter?

18th June 2014

One of the major academic efforts to understand how voters behave in September’s referendum is being conducted as part of an enterprise known as the British Election Study (BES).  This study is now 50 years old; each election since 1964 has been graced by an in-depth survey of voters conducted after polling day, while in […]


More Movement to Yes? ICM and Panelbase Polls

15th June 2014

Following on from Survation’s poll for the Daily Record on Thursday, two further polls released today appear to provide further evidence that the tide may have begun to flow a bit further in the Yes side’s direction. First, in a poll commissioned by Yes Scotland, Panelbase put Yes on 43%, No on 46%, with 12% […]


Poll of Polls: 12 June

15th June 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by ICM, one poll by Ipsos MORI, one poll by Survation, one by Panelbase, and one by TNS BMRB. The polls were conducted between 12 May and […]


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