3rd March 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The latest Ipsos MORI poll for STV of referendum vote intentions was released this afternoon. For the most part it represents disappointing news for the Yes side, though it upholds the suggestion that the currency intervention has had little impact on the balance of public opinion. Amongst those certain to vote (the opinions of whom […]
2nd March 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Today sees the latest of those little anniversaries that are being used to punctuate the long referendum campaign. The latest milestone is that it is 200 days to go to polling day on September 18th. The occasion has been marked by one new poll of referendum voting intentions in Scotland (together with a poll of […]
23rd February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
As you may well have already spotted, there is a Panelbase poll conducted for the SNP out today as well as the ICM poll for Scotland on Sunday. So that means we now have three polls conducted since the currency announcement (and Mr Barroso’s intervention, though David Bowlie’s headline grabbing plea for Scotland to stay […]
23rd February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Today sees the publication of the second poll to be conducted since the announcement that the UK government would not contemplate sharing the pound in a monetary union with Scotland. However, like the first such poll, it needs to be interpreted with caution. The poll, by ICM for Scotland on Sunday, puts the Yes vote […]
21st February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Last November, we observed that the ‘Yes’ side had a more visible and active online presence than the No’ camp. Since our last blog on this subject, the referendum campaign has intensified considerably, thanks not least to the launch of the Scottish Government’s White Paper on independence at the end of November 2013, the row […]
20th February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
There are two new polls out this morning. Only one, however,from Survation for the Daily Mail, was conducted after last week’s co-ordinated announcement that Scotland would not be allowed to share the pound with the rest of the UK, an announcement that the No side hoped would bring them a significant boost. The other, from […]
18th February 2014 Comment Expectations of constitutional change
Today we release some further findings and data from the 2013 Scottish Social Attitudes survey. With both Labour and the Conservatives due to unveil proposals for more devolution in the event of a No vote in the referendum, the new material focuses on attitudes towards the prospect of more devolution. A briefing that outlines and […]
9th February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Hitherto Panelbase have consistently produced the most optimistic estimates of the state of the referendum race so far as the Yes side is concerned. Ever since the exact wording of the referendum question became known a year ago, their polls have consistently put Yes on 44% or 45% once the Don’t Knows are excluded. So […]
7th February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
There is a new poll from YouGov in today’s Scottish Sun. Its publication also allows us to play catch up with another reading of referendum voting intention that the company slipped out largely unnoticed last week. Neither poll provides anything like as much evidence of a swing to Yes as did the TNS BMRB poll […]
4th February 2014 Comment Site News
Tuesday 18th February 9.30am-11am Raeburn Room, Old College, University of Edinburgh The possibility that Scotland should remain in the UK but that the Scottish Parliament should be given more power over and responsibility for taxation and welfare benefits will not appear on the ballot paper on 18th September. However, the debate on this option continues, […]
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