SNP Slipped in the Polls?

6th January 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders

Amongst the plethora of holiday polling, the SNP reported with some satisfaction Panelbase’s finding (based on the Scottish poll it conducted for the party just before Xmas) that the party was eight points ahead of Labour on constituency voting intentions for the Scottish Parliament and nine points on list voting.  As the party itself noted, […]


Holiday Catch Up

6th January 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Most voters in Scotland doubtless thought that the last fortnight of Christmas and New Year holidays provided a rare opportunity to escape from the routine of every day life. If so, their perspective was not shared by the apparatchiks working in the Yes and the No campaigns. They both regarded the holiday season as an […]


Santa Brings Yes A Little Present?

19th December 2013 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Santa has come early for the Yes side in the form of a mildly encouraging pre-Christmas poll from TNS BMRB. True, the poll’s findings are not immediately spectacular. They put support for the Yes side at 27% and No at 41%.  That represents just a one point increase in the Yes vote as compared with […]


The Post-White Paper Verdict: A Little Boost for Yes?

11th December 2013 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The first post-White Paper poll, by Progressive for the Mail on Sunday, suggested the Yes vote had not increased at all in the wake of the publication of the Scottish government’s independence prospectus. The second, by Ipsos MORI for STV, showed the Yes vote was up by three points as compared with that company’s previous […]



Scottish-RUK Collaboration: The View from South of the Border

6th December 2013 Comment Cross border attitudes Expectations of constitutional change

One of the key characteristics of the Scottish Government’s vision for an independent Scotland, as laid out in last week’s White Paper, is that there should be many areas of continuing collaboration and sharing between an independent Scotland and the rest of the UK (RUK).  The most controversial such proposal is that Scotland should continue […]


New TNS BMRB Poll: Signs of a Slight Boost for Yes?

5th December 2013 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The latest TNS BMRB monthly poll of referendum voting intentions is published today. However, it was conducted between 20th and 27th November, largely before the publication of the White Paper on the 26th November. The poll thus does not take us any further forward in ascertaining whether the launch of the White Paper has had […]




England and Wales Would Vote No!

27th November 2013 Comment Cross border attitudes

Yesterday Alex Salmond was doing his best to persuade Scots to vote Yes in the referendum. Today we get the result of the first poll – conducted by YouGov for The Sun – to ask people in England and Wales how they would vote in response to the referendum question, ‘Should Scotland be an independent […]