Ipsos MORI – Low Yes Vote But Little Change

3rd March 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The latest Ipsos MORI poll for STV of referendum vote intentions was released this afternoon. For the most part it represents disappointing news for the Yes side, though it upholds the suggestion that the currency intervention has had little impact on the balance of public opinion. Amongst those certain to vote (the opinions of whom […]


200 Days To Go

2nd March 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Today sees the latest of those little anniversaries that are being used to punctuate the long referendum campaign. The latest milestone is that it is 200 days to go to polling day on September 18th. The occasion has been marked by one new poll of referendum voting intentions in Scotland (together with a poll of […]




Racing Ahead Online: Catching Up Offline?

21st February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Last November, we observed that the ‘Yes’ side had a more visible and active online presence than the No’ camp. Since our last blog on this subject, the referendum campaign has intensified considerably, thanks not least to the launch of the Scottish Government’s White Paper on independence at the end of November 2013, the row […]


First Post Currency Row Poll Shows No Boost For No

20th February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

There are two new polls out this morning.  Only one, however,from Survation for the Daily Mail, was conducted after last week’s co-ordinated announcement that Scotland would not be allowed to share the pound with the rest of the UK, an announcement that the No side hoped would bring them a significant boost.  The other, from […]


What Does Scotland Think About More Devolution?

18th February 2014 Comment Expectations of constitutional change

Today we release some further findings and data from the 2013 Scottish Social Attitudes survey. With both Labour and the Conservatives due to unveil proposals for more devolution in the event of a No vote in the referendum, the new material focuses on attitudes towards the prospect of more devolution. A briefing that outlines and […]


Panelbase Breaks The Pattern

9th February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Hitherto Panelbase have consistently produced the most optimistic estimates of the state of the referendum race so far as the Yes side is concerned. Ever since the exact wording of the referendum question became known a year ago, their polls have consistently put Yes on 44% or 45% once the Don’t Knows are excluded. So […]