2nd June 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by Ipsos MORI, one poll by ICM, one by Panelbase, one by Survation, one by Progressive Scottish Opinion, and one by TNS BMRB. The polls were conducted […]
29th May 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
As doubtless most readers will be aware, tomorrow marks the official start of the campaign for the independence referendum – that is the period during which the amount of money that the two official campaigns, Yes Scotland and Better Together, along with the political parties and anybody else who wants to spend more than £10,000 […]
27th May 2014 Comment
Elections, parties & leaders
The declaration of the result of the European Parliament election in Scotland is of interest for two reasons so far as the referendum campaign is concerned. First, inevitably the parties and campaigns will try to impose their own interpretation of what has happened and why it matters for the referendum debate. Second, the declaration gives […]
19th May 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
For the next few days at least, the eyes of the Scottish political world will be diverted from the referendum campaign towards the prospects and performances of the parties in the elections to the European Parliament. Mind you, the referendum will not be off the boil for long; interpretations of what the results mean for […]
18th May 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Between them the two polls published today, one by ICM Research for Scotland on Sunday, and one from Panelbase for The Sunday Times, probably represent the most disappointing poll reading for the Yes side for several months. The more dramatic finding comes from ICM. They put Yes on 34%, down five points on last month, […]
18th May 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by ICM, one by Panelbase, one by Survation, one by Progressive Scottish Opinion, one by TNS BMRB and one by YouGov. The polls were conducted between 23 […]
15th May 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, one by ICM, one by YouGov, one by TNS BMRB and one by Progressive Scottish Opinion. The polls were conducted between 13 April and 12 […]
15th May 2014 Comment
Elections, parties & leaders
There is further evidence today from Survation (for the Daily Record) that after the gains made by Yes during the winter, the referendum race has once again become something of a stalemate. The poll puts Yes on 37%, No on 47%, with 17% saying Don’t Know. The Yes and No tallies are identical to those […]
14th May 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The latest monthly poll fromTNS BMRB, published today, adds to the impression that, while far from being reversed, the progress made by the Yes side during the winter has not continued apace in the spring. At the same time, however, the poll contains some food for thought for the No side about how voters perceive […]
11th May 2014 Comment
Elections, parties & leaders
Until now, Progressive Scottish Opinion had conducted only a couple of polls of voting intentions in the referendum – one last September, on the occasion of a year to go to polling day, and one at the very end of November, immediately after the publication of the Scottish Government’s White Paper. Even so, those two […]