6th August 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders
Within half an hour of the conclusion of last night’s leaders’ debate, ICM produced for The Guardian an instant poll of the reactions of a supposedly representative sample of voters who watched the debate. Only just over 500 people (512 to be exact) were successfully contacted in the limited time available, and some demographic groups, […]
5th August 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders
A poll commissioned by STV from Ipsos MORI and released at the beginning of tonight’s leaders’ debate gives Alex Salmond a bit of a fillip as he prepares to debate with the Better Together leader, Alistair Darling. The poll puts Yes on 40% and No on 54%, with just 7% of those who say they […]
5th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, one poll by TNS BMRB, one by Ipsos MORI, one by ICM and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 25 June and 3 […]
3rd August 2014 Comment National identity and cultural issues The Scottish independence referendum
The Commonwealth Games have gone off about as well as the organisers could possibly have hoped. A record haul of medals for Team Scotland and, with just the odd exception, plenty of plaudits for how well the event has been arranged. Even the weather has been kind (at the beginning at least). It would seem […]
3rd August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, one poll by TNS BMRB, one by YouGov, one by ICM and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 25 June and 1 August.
27th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The opinion polls may of course all be wrong. But if Scotland is to vote in favour of independence on 18 September then one would expect at least a few polls to put Yes ahead at some point before polling day. And no poll would seem more likely to record a Yes lead than Panelbase, […]
27th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by TNS BMRB, one poll by YouGov, one by Survation, one by ICM and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 10 June and 22 July.
18th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Of all the companies polling regularly during the campaign, none has hitherto been more stable in its estimates of referendum vote intentions than TNS BMRB. Up to now, six of the seven polls it had conducted to date this year had put Yes on 41% (and No on 59%) once the Don’t Knows were excluded, […]
18th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, two by TNS BMRB, one poll by Survation, and one by ICM, The polls were conducted between 10 June and 11 July. It is an […]
16th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Regular readers of this blog will be well aware that the polls have been consistently disagreeing with each other in their estimates of how many people propose to vote Yes and No. Three companies, ICM, Panelbase and Survation have tended to produce higher estimates of the Yes vote (and thus lower estimates of the No […]
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