18th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
It did not work when the original announcement that an independent Scotland would not be allowed to share the pound and form a monetary union with the rest of the UK was made. And it looks as though the No side’s return to the issue in and since the leaders’ debate has again failed to […]
17th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
A third post-leaders’ debate poll of voting intentions in the referendum has appeared this morning. Undertaken by Panelbase for the Yes Scotland campaign, it casts further doubt on the proposition that the debate had an adverse impact on the Yes vote. The poll puts Yes on 42%, up one point on the company’s previous poll […]
17th August 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders The Scottish independence referendum
The latest regular monthly ICM poll for Scotland on Sunday is published today. It is only the second regular poll to have been conducted wholly since the leaders’ debate. And while the poll confirms that voters’ judgement is that Mr Darling won, it fails to confirm the message of the previous post-leaders’ debate poll from […]
17th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by Survation, one poll by YouGov, one by TNS BMRB, one by Ipsos MORI, one by ICM and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 23 […]
14th August 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders The Scottish independence referendum
Rather than being a regular poll of all voters, this month’s poll by Survation for the Daily Record, published today, has been conducted exclusively amongst women. So, although it was conducted between 8 and 12 August and is thus only the second poll to have been conducted wholly since last Tuesday’s leaders’ debate, it does […]
13th August 2014 Comment National identity and cultural issues The Scottish independence referendum
TNS BMRB’s monthly poll is published today. As ever its face to face polling is done over a longer fieldwork period than other polls. In this instance polling started the day the Commonwealth Games were opened on 23 July and ended on 7 August, two days after the leaders’ debate. It thus gives us a […]
12th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
We use the Scottish Social Attitudes survey (SSA) 2014 to look here at likely turnout in the referendum, and also at who the undecideds are. The level of turnout looks likely to be high. The survey measured respondents’ likelihood of voting on a 10-point scale, with 10 meaning ‘very likely to vote’. Nearly three quarters […]
12th August 2014 Comment Expectations of constitutional change How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum
What should we make of the referendum campaign now that polling day is drawing near? That is the question being addressed today by a major ScotCen/What Scotland Thinks conference being held in Edinburgh today. To help us answer the question the event will see the unveiling of initial results from the 2014 Scottish Social Attitudes […]
12th August 2014 Comment Expectations of constitutional change How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum
As we enter the final weeks of the referendum campaign, persuading key groups of voters to back their case becomes ever more important to both the Yes Scotland and the Better Together campaign. Women are one such target group. In fact, some have suggested that women may ‘hold the key’ to the outcome of September’s vote. […]
11th August 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
There is a new poll from YouGov published in today’s Sun newspaper. Curiously, perhaps, the fieldwork was conducted between 4 and 7 August, that is partly before the leaders’ debate on 5 August, and partly afterwards. Thus unlike Saturday’s poll by Survation, it does not provide us with a clear measure of whether support for […]
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