1st September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, two by YouGov, one by ICM and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 6 August and 1 September.
1st September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Faced with opinion polls that continue unrelentingly to put the No side ahead, albeit by differing margins, the Yes side appears to be putting its faith in the so-called ‘missing million’. The term is used somewhat loosely; sometimes it refers to those who are eligible to vote but are not on the electoral register and […]
29th August 2014 Comment
Elections, parties & leaders The Scottish independence referendum
Initially, the first regular poll to be conduced since the second leaders’ debate – by Survation for today’s Daily Mail – looks like very good news for the Yes side. But in truth its real message is that collectively at least the two leaders’ debates have apparently failed to change the balance of support for […]
28th August 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, two by YouGov, one by ICM and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 4 and 28 August.
27th August 2014 Comment
Policy issues
There is an assumption in public debate that – regardless of the outcome of the referendum – devolution has already caused Scotland and England to drift apart, and especially in education policy. The best-known of all the policy divergence is on student fees. In university classes now in Scotland there are students paying nothing and […]
26th August 2014 Comment
Elections, parties & leaders
An instant poll of 505 people who watched the second and last leaders’ debate between Mr Salmond and Mr Darling last night suggests that, in contrast to the first debate three weeks ago, Mr Salmond was widely regarded as the winner of the joust. However, the poll, conducted by ICM and commissioned by The Guardian, […]
23rd August 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Political campaigners can often be heard complaining that opinion polls do not reflect what they are hearing ‘on the doorstep’. Arguing that they have spoken to many more people than the 1,000 or so typically interviewed for a poll, they claim the polls must be biased or just plain wrong. In Scotland, the Radical Independence […]
18th August 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
It did not work when the original announcement that an independent Scotland would not be allowed to share the pound and form a monetary union with the rest of the UK was made. And it looks as though the No side’s return to the issue in and since the leaders’ debate has again failed to […]
17th August 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
A third post-leaders’ debate poll of voting intentions in the referendum has appeared this morning. Undertaken by Panelbase for the Yes Scotland campaign, it casts further doubt on the proposition that the debate had an adverse impact on the Yes vote. The poll puts Yes on 42%, up one point on the company’s previous poll […]
17th August 2014 Comment
Elections, parties & leaders The Scottish independence referendum
The latest regular monthly ICM poll for Scotland on Sunday is published today. It is only the second regular poll to have been conducted wholly since the leaders’ debate. And while the poll confirms that voters’ judgement is that Mr Darling won, it fails to confirm the message of the previous post-leaders’ debate poll from […]
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