Brexit Bounce Still Appears Elusive

15th September 2016 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Further evidence has emerged this week that the UK-wide decision to leave the EU has not significantly altered the balance of opinion on attitudes towards independence after all. Two polls, from Ipsos MORI (for STV News), the other from TNS (not for any particular client) both suggest that there is still a small majority in […]


Has Brexit Not Cleared The Path To Indyef2 After All?

2nd September 2016 Comment Perceptions of government & the Union The Scottish independence referendum

Summer is coming to an end. The streets of Edinburgh are about to be populated by politicians and their acolytes rather than festival goers. Next week the SNP announce their legislative programme for the coming year. And today the nationalists are finally getting around to launching their long-promised ‘summer offensive’ on independence. In the meantime, […]


Has Brexit Changed Voters’ Minds About Indyref2?

8th July 2016 Comment How Scotland should be governed

The outcome of the referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU has, as the First Minister has remarked, put the question of Scottish independence back ‘on the table’. Nicola Sturgeon long ago signalled that a UK-wide vote to leave the EU combined with a vote in Scotland to remain would likely be regarded as […]


Could Brexit Lead to IndyRef2?

13th June 2016 Comment How Scotland should be governed

With the opinion polls consistently showing that Scotland is set to vote to Remain in the European Union on June 23rd (the latest estimate from TNS released last week suggested that, after excluding Don’t Knows, as many as 71% might do so), there seems to be more interest north of the border in discussing what […]


So Just How United Are SNP Supporters on Europe?

6th June 2016 Comment How Scotland should be governed

One of the most striking features of polls of voting intentions in the European Union referendum is that people in Scotland are much more likely to say they will vote to Remain than are their counterparts in England & Wales. Whereas polls across Britain as a whole suggest the referendum race is tight, in Scotland […]


The Final Poll (apart from the one that really matters!)

5th May 2016 Comment Elections, parties & leaders

Today’s Times carries the final opinion poll of the Scottish Parliament election campaign, conducted by YouGov between Monday and yesterday. This is the only poll of the campaign that would usually be regarded as a ‘final poll’, that is one that has been conducted sufficiently closely to polling day that its accuracy can reasonably be […]