7th February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
There is a new poll from YouGov in today’s Scottish Sun. Its publication also allows us to play catch up with another reading of referendum voting intention that the company slipped out largely unnoticed last week. Neither poll provides anything like as much evidence of a swing to Yes as did the TNS BMRB poll […]
1st February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Survation, the regular (internet) pollsters for the London newsdesk of the Mail on Sunday (though not of the desk in Scotland), have entered the referendum polling fray for the first time this weekend. They put the Yes vote at 32%, No at 52%, with 16% saying Don’t Know (after taking into account people’s reported likelihood […]
1st February 2014 Comment How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum
At first glance, the poll from TNS BMRB published tonight (conducted on behalf of a new organisation being founded by Sir Tom Hunter, with the aim of improving the quality of the data and the evidence in the referendum debate) presents a very different picture of the state of the referendum race than last week’s […]
26th January 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
One of the most remarkable features of the referendum campaign polls so far has been their stability from one reading to the next. Almost every company’s poll has reported more or less the same proportion of people saying they will vote Yes (and No) as did the last poll conducted by that same company. Now, […]
21st January 2014 Comment Expectations of constitutional change Perceptions of government & the Union
Tonight (Tuesday) sees the release of initial findings on attitudes towards independence from the latest Scottish Social Attitudes survey, which was conducted between June and October last year. Tomorrow (Wednesday) you will be able to both to mine the data for yourself using our data explorer while there will also be some briefings that report […]
7th January 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
A new species of referendum poll makes a first appearance tonight – a full sized poll of attitudes in one specific region of Scotland. It comes from ITV Border – to mark the launch of a new regular Scottish politics show for the region – and covers people living in Dumfries & Galloway and the […]
6th January 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders
Amongst the plethora of holiday polling, the SNP reported with some satisfaction Panelbase’s finding (based on the Scottish poll it conducted for the party just before Xmas) that the party was eight points ahead of Labour on constituency voting intentions for the Scottish Parliament and nine points on list voting. As the party itself noted, […]
6th January 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Most voters in Scotland doubtless thought that the last fortnight of Christmas and New Year holidays provided a rare opportunity to escape from the routine of every day life. If so, their perspective was not shared by the apparatchiks working in the Yes and the No campaigns. They both regarded the holiday season as an […]
19th December 2013 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Santa has come early for the Yes side in the form of a mildly encouraging pre-Christmas poll from TNS BMRB. True, the poll’s findings are not immediately spectacular. They put support for the Yes side at 27% and No at 41%. That represents just a one point increase in the Yes vote as compared with […]
11th December 2013 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The first post-White Paper poll, by Progressive for the Mail on Sunday, suggested the Yes vote had not increased at all in the wake of the publication of the Scottish government’s independence prospectus. The second, by Ipsos MORI for STV, showed the Yes vote was up by three points as compared with that company’s previous […]
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