20th March 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
One of the curious features of the polling conducted since the publication of the independence White Paper last November, is that the one and only company not to register any subsequent increase in Yes support has been Panelbase, whose results had hitherto consistently been the most favourable to the Yes side. Of course, given that […]
13th March 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The Scottish party political conference season kicks off this weekend, and that together with the fact that it will be ‘six months to go’ until polling day next Wednesday means there is likely to be another intense round of media speculation and commentary on the state of the referendum race in the next few days. […]
7th March 2014 Comment Cross border attitudes How England should be governed How Wales should be governed
As the referendum debate has warmed up, so the rest of the UK (or at least its media) has begun to take more notice. Consequently, in recent weeks more than one poll has asked people south of the border what they think about some of the issues at stake. Here we share a few observations […]
3rd March 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
The latest Ipsos MORI poll for STV of referendum vote intentions was released this afternoon. For the most part it represents disappointing news for the Yes side, though it upholds the suggestion that the currency intervention has had little impact on the balance of public opinion. Amongst those certain to vote (the opinions of whom […]
2nd March 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Today sees the latest of those little anniversaries that are being used to punctuate the long referendum campaign. The latest milestone is that it is 200 days to go to polling day on September 18th. The occasion has been marked by one new poll of referendum voting intentions in Scotland (together with a poll of […]
23rd February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
As you may well have already spotted, there is a Panelbase poll conducted for the SNP out today as well as the ICM poll for Scotland on Sunday. So that means we now have three polls conducted since the currency announcement (and Mr Barroso’s intervention, though David Bowlie’s headline grabbing plea for Scotland to stay […]
23rd February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Today sees the publication of the second poll to be conducted since the announcement that the UK government would not contemplate sharing the pound in a monetary union with Scotland. However, like the first such poll, it needs to be interpreted with caution. The poll, by ICM for Scotland on Sunday, puts the Yes vote […]
20th February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
There are two new polls out this morning. Only one, however,from Survation for the Daily Mail, was conducted after last week’s co-ordinated announcement that Scotland would not be allowed to share the pound with the rest of the UK, an announcement that the No side hoped would bring them a significant boost. The other, from […]
18th February 2014 Comment Expectations of constitutional change
Today we release some further findings and data from the 2013 Scottish Social Attitudes survey. With both Labour and the Conservatives due to unveil proposals for more devolution in the event of a No vote in the referendum, the new material focuses on attitudes towards the prospect of more devolution. A briefing that outlines and […]
9th February 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Hitherto Panelbase have consistently produced the most optimistic estimates of the state of the referendum race so far as the Yes side is concerned. Ever since the exact wording of the referendum question became known a year ago, their polls have consistently put Yes on 44% or 45% once the Don’t Knows are excluded. So […]
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