5th August 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, one poll by TNS BMRB, one by Ipsos MORI, one by ICM and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 25 June and 3 […]
3rd August 2014 Comment
National identity and cultural issues The Scottish independence referendum
The Commonwealth Games have gone off about as well as the organisers could possibly have hoped. A record haul of medals for Team Scotland and, with just the odd exception, plenty of plaudits for how well the event has been arranged. Even the weather has been kind (at the beginning at least). It would seem […]
3rd August 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, one poll by TNS BMRB, one by YouGov, one by ICM and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 25 June and 1 August.
27th July 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The opinion polls may of course all be wrong. But if Scotland is to vote in favour of independence on 18 September then one would expect at least a few polls to put Yes ahead at some point before polling day. And no poll would seem more likely to record a Yes lead than Panelbase, […]
27th July 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by TNS BMRB, one poll by YouGov, one by Survation, one by ICM and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 10 June and 22 July.
18th July 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Of all the companies polling regularly during the campaign, none has hitherto been more stable in its estimates of referendum vote intentions than TNS BMRB. Up to now, six of the seven polls it had conducted to date this year had put Yes on 41% (and No on 59%) once the Don’t Knows were excluded, […]
18th July 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, two by TNS BMRB, one poll by Survation, and one by ICM, The polls were conducted between 10 June and 11 July. It is an […]
16th July 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Regular readers of this blog will be well aware that the polls have been consistently disagreeing with each other in their estimates of how many people propose to vote Yes and No. Three companies, ICM, Panelbase and Survation have tended to produce higher estimates of the Yes vote (and thus lower estimates of the No […]
13th July 2014 Comment
How Scotland should be governed
A distinguishing feature of the polls that ICM conduct for Scotland on Sunday is that they repeatedly ask many of the same questions each month. As a result, apart from academic exercises such as the British Election Study, they provide us with a unique insight into how much difference the referendum campaign is making to […]
13th July 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by ICM, two by YouGov, one poll by Survation, and one by TNS BMRB, The polls were conducted between 9 June and 11 July.
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