Which Would Be Better? In the UK or in the EU?

18th September 2024 Comment Economic issues Expectations of constitutional change

One of the key debates during the campaign for the 2014 independence referendum, whose 10th anniversary is marked today, was about the implications of independence for Scotland’s membership of the EU. ‘Yes’ campaigners argued that the country would be able seamlessly to remain part of the EU. ‘No’ advocates, in contrast, argued Scotland would have […]





A Broken Link? Support for Independence and the SNP

11th April 2023 Comment Elections, parties & leaders How Scotland should be governed

One of the key developments in Scottish electoral politics over the last decade has been a strengthening of the relationship between constitutional preference and party choice. Those who support independence have come overwhelmingly to support the SNP, while those who are opposed have become disinclined to do so. According to the Scottish Social Attitudes survey, […]



Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeon’s Resignation?

16th February 2023 Comment Elections, parties & leaders

Scottish Labour meet in Edinburgh this weekend in better heart than for a long time. The party outpolled the Conservatives in last May’s local elections, the first time it had done so in a Scotland-wide ballot since 2016. Almost every poll conducted since the beginning of last year has suggested that the party has now […]


A Tale of Two Halves? The Supreme Court Judgement and Attitudes towards Independence

14th December 2022 Comment Elections, parties & leaders How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum

The Supreme Court judgement that the Scottish Parliament does not have the legal authority to hold a referendum on independence was widely welcomed by unionist politicians. However, so far at least, it seems to have undermined rather than underpinned the foundations of public support for the Union. Four polls of people’s vote intentions in a […]



Attitudes towards the Economics of Independence – An Update

17th October 2022 Comment Economic issues

Today Nicola Sturgeon is releasing the latest and most important instalment in the Scottish Government’s series of white papers intended to make the case for independence. The latest publication will address the economy and currency. This is an important development in the independence debate. Attitudes towards the economy played a key role in voters’ decisions […]