How likely would you be to vote in a referendum on Scottish independence? (1 to 10 scale)

Question details

"And, how likely would you be to vote in an immediate referendum, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?"

Survey years

29 August 2011: Ipsos Mori survey for Self-Funded or Unknown with 1002 respondents, 18 and older. Further info
29 January 2012: Ipsos Mori survey for Self-Funded or Unknown with 1005 respondents, 18 and older. Further info
14 June 2012: Ipsos Mori survey for The Times and The Sun with 1003 respondents, 18 and older. Further info
15 October 2012: Ipsos Mori survey for The Times with 1003 respondents, 18 and older. Further info
09 February 2013: Ipsos Mori survey for The Times with 1003 respondents, 18 and older. Further info
05 May 2013: Ipsos Mori survey for The Times with 1001 respondents, 18 and older. Further info
15 September 2013: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1000 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
05 December 2013: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1006 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
25 February 2014: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1001 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
14 May 2014: Panelbase survey for The Sunday Times with 1046 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
Question wording: And how likely are you to vote in the referendum? End points: Certain to Vote and Certain Not to Vote
15 May 2014: ICM survey for Scotland on Sunday with 1003 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
As you may know, a referendum on independence will be held in Scotland on 18 September 2014. Some people have said they would not vote in that referendum, while others have said they would vote. How certain it is that you would actually vote in the independence referendum on 18th September? On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?
01 June 2014: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1003 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
12 June 2014: ICM survey for Scotland on Sunday with 1002 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
As you may know, a referendum on independence will be held in Scotland on 18 September 2014. Some people have said they would not vote in that referendum, while others have said they would vote. How certain it is that you would actually vote in the independence referendum on 18th September? On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?
11 July 2014: ICM survey for Scotland on Sunday with 1002 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
As you may know, a referendum on independence will be held in Scotland on 18 September 2014. Some people have said they would not vote in that referendum, while others have said they would vote. How certain it is that you would actually vote in the independence referendum on 18th September? On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?
03 August 2014: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1006 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
11 September 2014: ICM survey for The Guardian with 1000 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
12 September 2014: ICM survey for The Sunday Telegraph with 705 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
16 September 2014: ICM survey for Scotsman with 1175 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
16 September 2014: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1405 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
Full question wording 'How likely would you be to vote in the referendum on Thursday, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?'
17 September 2014: Ipsos Mori survey for London Evening Standard with 991 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
11 September 2016: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1000 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
06 March 2017: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1029 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
Question wording: And, how likely would you be to vote in a referendum on Scotland’s constitutional future, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?
11 March 2018: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1016 respondents, 16 and older. Further info
Question wording: 'If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?'
04 October 2018: Panelbase survey for The Sunday Times with 1024 respondents, 16 and older. Further info

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End Date	Aug 2011	Jan 2012	Jun 2012	Oct 2012	Feb 2013	May 2013	Sep 2013	Dec 2013	Feb 2014	May 2014	May 2014	Jun 2014	Jun 2014	Jul 2014	Aug 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2016	Mar 2017	Mar 2018	Oct 2018
1 (absolutely certain would not)	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	3%	4%	1%	3%	5%	4%	0%	4%	6%	3%	3%	2%
2	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%
3	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%
4	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%
5	5%	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	5%	3%	5%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	4%	3%
6	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%
7	5%	2%	4%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	3%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	3%	2%	2%
8	6%	5%	4%	7%	8%	6%	6%	5%	5%	4%	6%	4%	5%	6%	6%	1%	4%	3%	1%	1%	6%	4%	4%	5%
9	6%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	6%	4%	4%	9%	11%	6%	9%	10%	5%	2%	4%	6%	2%	2%	2%	4%	4%	8%
10 (absolutely certain would)	70%	80%	78%	70%	74%	76%	73%	79%	80%	79%	68%	83%	73%	70%	81%	90%	81%	82%	96%	92%	80%	81%	80%	78%

End Date	Aug 2011	Jan 2012	Jun 2012	Oct 2012	Feb 2013	May 2013	Sep 2013	Dec 2013	Feb 2014	May 2014	May 2014	Jun 2014	Jun 2014	Jul 2014	Aug 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2014	Sep 2016	Mar 2017	Mar 2018	Oct 2018
1 (absolutely certain would not)	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	3%	4%	1%	3%	5%	4%	0%	4%	6%	3%	3%	2%
2	0.25%	0.25%	0.25%	1%	0.25%	0.25%	1%	0%	0.25%	0.25%	0.25%	0%	0.25%	0.25%	0.25%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-0.25%	1%	0.25%
3	0.25%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0.25%	0.25%	1%	1%	0.25%	1%	0.25%	0.25%	1%	0.25%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0.25%
4	1%	0.25%	0.25%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0.25%	0.25%	1%	0.25%	0.25%	1%	0.25%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.25%	1%	0.25%	0.25%
5	5%	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	5%	3%	5%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	4%	3%
6	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%
7	5%	2%	4%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	3%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	3%	2%	2%
8	6%	5%	4%	7%	8%	6%	6%	5%	5%	4%	6%	4%	5%	6%	6%	1%	4%	3%	1%	1%	6%	4%	4%	5%
9	6%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	6%	4%	4%	9%	10%	6%	8%	9%	5%	2%	4%	6%	2%	2%	2%	4%	4%	8%
10 (absolutely certain would)	68%	78%	77%	66%	73%	74%	73%	79%	78%	76%	64%	82%	67%	65%	81%	87%	77%	79%	95%	95%	81%	81%	78%	77%
Don't know	0%	1%	1%	1%	0.25%	1%	0.25%	1%	1%	0%	6%	0.25%	6%	6%	0.25%	2%	3%	3%	0%	0%	0.25%	1%	1%	0%
Refused	0%	0%	0%	0.25%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

How likely would you be to vote in a referendum on Scottish independence? (1 to 10 scale)

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