How would you vote in a Scottish independence referendum if held now? (asked after the EU referendum)

Question details

"If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question "Should Scotland be an Independent country?", how would you vote?"

Survey years

  • 25 June 2016: Survation survey for Daily Record with 1021 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Base: likely to vote

  • 26 June 2016: Panelbase survey for The Sunday Times with 626 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Base: All 8-10 likely to vote

  • 28 June 2016: Survation survey for Scottish Daily Mail with 1055 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Base: likely to vote

  • 25 July 2016: YouGov survey for Client unknown or self funded with 1006 respondents, 18 and older.    Further info

    Exact wording: If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country? Don't Know includes 4% who said 'Would not vote'. Tables for this question are at https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/ihg707zgux/ScottishTrackers_25-Jul-2016_Indy_W.pdf

  • 31 August 2016: YouGov survey for The Times with 1039 respondents, 18 and older.    Further info

    Exact wording: If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country? Don't Know includes 3% who said 'Would not vote'.

  • 04 September 2016: TNS-BMRB survey for Self-Funded or Unknown with 1047 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Exact wording: If there was a referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how would you vote in response to the question: Should Scotland be an independent country?

  • 10 September 2016: Survation survey for Client unknown or self funded with 1073 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Base: likely to vote. Tables for this question are at http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/rrr_.pdf

  • 11 September 2016: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1000 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Full wording: If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland’s constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country? Figures based on just those who said they were at least 9/10 certain to vote. Figures amongst all respondents were Yes 41%, No 51%.

  • 15 September 2016: Panelbase survey for The Sunday Times with 1024 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    The figures for this poll were originally reported as Yes 45%, No 48%, but the poll was subsequently reweighted by Panelbase and amended to the above.

  • 04 October 2016: BMG Research survey for Herald Scotland with 1010 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    15% 'Don't Know' includes 3% 'Prefer not to say'

  • 29 November 2016: YouGov survey for The Times with 1134 respondents, 16 and older.   

    13% 'Don't know' includes 3% 'Would not vote'

  • 13 December 2016: BMG Research survey for The Herald with 1002 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

  • 26 January 2017: Panelbase survey for The Sunday Times with 1020 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Base: Likely voters

  • 31 January 2017: BMG Research survey for The Herald with 1067 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Question: Should Scotland be an independent country?

  • 13 February 2017: Panelbase survey for Wings Over Scotland with 1028 respondents, 16 and older.   

    Base: Likely voters

  • 27 February 2017: BMG Research survey for The Herald with 1009 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Question: Should Scotland be an independent country?

  • 06 March 2017: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1029 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Full wording: If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland’s constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country? Figures based on just those who said they were at least 9/10 certain to vote. Figures for all respondents were Yes 46%, No 46%, Don't Know 7, Refused 1.

  • 13 March 2017: Survation survey for Scottish Daily Mail with 1019 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question "Should Scotland be an Independent country?", how would you vote?

  • 14 March 2017: YouGov survey for The Times with 1028 respondents, 18 and older.    Further info

    Wording: If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country? Don't Know includes 5% 'would not vote'

  • 17 March 2017: Panelbase survey for The Sunday Times with 1008 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

  • 11 April 2017: BMG Research survey for The Herald with 1041 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

    Question: Should Scotland be an independent country?

  • 11 April 2017: TNS-BMRB survey for Self-Funded or Unknown with 1060 respondents, 16 and older.   

    Full question wording: 'If there was a referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how would you vote in response to the question: Should Scotland be an independent country?' Base: All those certain, very likely, quite likely or not very likely to vote

  • 21 April 2017: Panelbase survey for The Sunday Times with 1029 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

  • 21 April 2017: Survation survey for The Sunday Post with 1001 respondents, 18 and older.    Further info

    Wording: If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question "Should Scotland be an Independent country?", how would you vote?

  • 27 April 2017: YouGov survey for The Times with 1017 respondents, 18 and older.    Further info

    Exact wording: If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country? 12% 'Don't know' includes 4% 'Would not vote'

  • 18 May 2017: YouGov survey for The Times with 1032 respondents, 18 and older.    Further info

    Exact wording: If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country? 12% Don't Know includes 4% would not vote

  • 25 May 2017: Ipsos Mori survey for STV with 1016 respondents, 18 and older.    Further info

    Question wording: If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland’s constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?

  • 31 May 2017: Panelbase survey for The Sunday Times with 1021 respondents, 16 and older.   

    Base: Likely voters

  • 02 June 2017: Survation survey for The Sunday Post with 1024 respondents, 16 and older.   

    Weighted by likelihood to vote

  • 05 June 2017: YouGov survey for The Times with 1093 respondents, 18 and older.    Further info

    Exact wording: If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country?

  • 07 June 2017: Survation survey for Daily Record with 1001 respondents, 16 and older.   

    Base: Likely voters Full question wording: 'If there was a referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how would you vote on the question “Should Scotland be an independent country?”'

  • 07 June 2017: Panelbase survey for The Times with 1106 respondents, 16 and older.    Further info

See more questions from

Join the discussion about How would you vote in a Scottish independence referendum if held now? (asked after the EU referendum)